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California Governor’s Race 2026: What the Debate Tells Us About Vote Splitting and Your Family’s Future

For California residents concerned about political stability, economic policy, and how leadership affects estate planning and family protection

Who This Article Is For

If you’re a California resident managing assets, planning your estate, or concerned about how state leadership affects your family’s financial future, understanding the 2026 governor’s race is critical. The upcoming election could determine housing affordability, tax policy, and the legal framework that governs trusts, probate, and wealth transfer for the next four years.

What Happened at the San Francisco Debate?

On Tuesday evening, seven candidates for California governor participated in the first statewide debate of 2026 at the Ruth Williams Opera House in San Francisco’s Bayview. The debate was broadcast live on KTVU and KTTV Fox 11, co-hosted by anchors Andre Senior and Maria Tellez.

Who Showed Up—and Who Didn’t

The confirmed participants included:

  • Republican: Steve Hilton (Fox News contributor)
  • Democrats: San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, former state Controller Betty Yee, former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra, billionaire businessman Tom Steyer, and State Superintendent Tony Thurmond
  • Notably absent were two prominent candidates:

  • Rep. Eric Swalwell (seven-term congressman from the East Bay)
  • Former Congresswoman Katie Porter
  • Both cited scheduling conflicts. Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, another Republican candidate, was also absent.

    Why This Debate Matters: The Vote-Splitting Problem

    California uses a unique primary system where the top two vote-getters—regardless of party—advance to the general election. With so many Democrats in the race, there’s a real risk that Democratic votes could split enough to allow two Republicans to dominate the top spots.

    According to the latest Emerson College poll, four candidates are running neck-and-neck: Hilton, Bianco, Swalwell, and Porter—with all other candidates polling below 10% and 31% of voters still undecided.

    What Does This Mean for California Families?

    As KTTV anchor Maria Tellez noted during the debate coverage: “Whomever gets the keys to California is going to drive the economy and housing affordability for the next four years”.

    For families managing estates, trusts, and long-term financial planning, the outcome of this election could impact:

  • State tax policy affecting estate and inheritance planning
  • Housing affordability and real estate transfer regulations
  • Probate court funding and legal system accessibility
  • Healthcare policy affecting advance directives and end-of-life planning
  • How California Residents Can Prepare

    With the June primary only months away, now is the time to:

  • Research each candidate’s platform on tax policy, housing, and legal reform
  • Understand how vote-splitting could affect the final outcome
  • Review your estate plan to ensure it’s adaptable to changing state leadership
  • Consult with experienced California estate planning attorneys who understand the intersection of politics and family wealth protection
  • Protecting Your Family’s Future, Regardless of Political Outcomes

    Political uncertainty makes proactive estate planning more important than ever. Whether you’re concerned about tax changes, probate complications, or protecting your family’s assets across generations, having a solid legal foundation is essential.

    At California Probate and Trust, PC, we specialize in helping California residents create comprehensive estate plans that protect families through changing political and economic landscapes. Our experienced attorneys provide transparent, compassionate guidance on trusts, wills, probate, and asset protection strategies designed specifically for California law.

    Ready to Protect Your Family’s Future?

    Schedule a free consultation with our Sacramento-based estate planning team. We’ll help you understand your options and create a personalized plan that safeguards your legacy—no matter who wins the governor’s race.

    Call (866) 674-1130 or visit cpt.law to schedule your free estate planning consultation today.

    Source: SFist – San Francisco News, Restaurants, Events, & Sports

    Legal Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice. Estate planning laws are complex and vary based on individual circumstances. For specific legal guidance tailored to your situation, please consult with a qualified California estate planning attorney. California Probate and Trust, PC is available to discuss your unique needs during a free consultation.